Value Up Success Stories

Kao

Kao has long been a leader in business execution and capital management. In 1999, the company announced that “Kao aims to maximize shareholder value.  At the same time, we realize that this will also serve to increase the value of the company for other stakeholders.”  Kao’s consistent commitment to creating value for stakeholders has been rewarded with a premium valuation relative to both domestic and foreign peers.  This premium valuation opens up a number of strategic options to the company and positions it to build on its success.

Kao has consistently improved ROE, reduced shares outstanding, and increased dividends per share:kao1
Sources: company reports, Bloomberg


Kao’s strong commitment to increasing ROE and returns to shareholders has been rewarded with an expanding P/B ratio:
kao2
Sources: company reports, Bloomberg


Kao has continuously improved its ROE relative foreign and domestic peers:

kao3
Sources: company reports, Bloomberg

kao4
Sources: company reports, Bloomberg


Kao now commands a substantial valuation premium to both foreign and domestic peers:

kao5
Sources: company reports, Bloomberg

kao6
Sources: company reports, Bloomberg


Kao continuously improved ROE through higher asset turns (increasing revenues relative to assets) and improved profit margins. Despite stock buybacks and increased dividends, leverage (assets to equity) still decreased:

kao7
Sources: company reports, Bloomberg

Kao communicates clearly regarding its commitment to efficient capital management and returns to shareholders:

share_repurchase
Source: company reports

ROE_ROA

Source: company reports

dividends

Source: company reports

Panasonic

Panasonic has a long history of cost efficiency, but has emphasized and accelerated its commitment to shareholders through an effective and comprehensive business restructuring over the last two years.


The company has successfully recovered from a lossmaking position and dividend suspension in FY 3/13, with an impressive turnaround in ROE to an all-time high of 10%. This has led to a rerating of the stock, with the P/B ratio recovering from 0.8x to 1.8x.

panasonic_chart1
Sources: company reports, Bloomberg


The dramatic improvement in ROE has been driven by all three factors: asset turn, leverage, and margins:

panasonic_chart2
Sources: company reports, Bloomberg


Despite higher leverage, Panasonic is still comfortable re-instating DPS 30% above previous levels:

panasonic_chart3
Sources: company reports, Bloomberg


Panasonic now trades at a higher P/B ratio than its peers:

panasonic_chart4
Sources: company reports, Bloomberg
Note: peers are Hitachi, Toshiba, NEC, Mitsubishi Electric, Sony


Because it has a higher ROE:

panasonic_chart5
Sources: company reports, Bloomberg
Note: peers are Hitachi, Toshiba, NEC, Mitsubishi Electric, Sony

Omron

Omron made a serious commitment to better capital management with the appointment of its first CFO in 2013. The minimum dividend payout ratio was raised from 20 to 25%, with a target of 30% by 2016. At the same time, a commitment was made to conduct share buybacks to reduce the accumulated capital surplus.


ROE has improved from 5.2% to 11.6% in two years, and is forecast to reach 13.9% in FY 3/15 based on consensus estimates. This improvement in ROE and shareholder returns has been rewarded by a rise in Omron’s P/B ratio:

omron_chart1
Sources: company reports, Bloomberg


Pledges on payouts have been met: dividends/share have almost doubled,

while the number of shares outstanding has fallen by 5%:
omron_chart2
Sources: company reports, Bloomberg


Omron’s ROE has been supported by a more efficient asset turn (sales to total assets).

Despite higher DPS and share buybacks, leverage has also fallen.
omron_chart3
Sources: company reports, Bloomberg


Omron’s ROE now exceeds that of both domestic and global peers:

omron_chart4
Sources: company reports, Bloomberg
Note: Foreign peers are Siemens and Philips


This improvement has been reflected in a commensurate rise in PB/ratio to

match that of comparable global companies:omron_chart5
Sources: company reports, Bloomberg
Note: Foreign peers are Siemens and Philips

Mabuchi Motors

In 2008 and 2009, Mabuchi initiated a meaningful share buyback program at attractive prices. Since then, the company has continued to buy back shares and increased dividends per share substantially. ROE has improved considerably, and Mabuchi’s price to book ratio has improved from less than one third that of peer companies to a much smaller 20% discount.


Mabuchi has consistently improved ROE, reduced shares outstanding, and increased dividends per share:

mabuchi_chart1
Sources: company reports, Bloomberg


Mabuchi’s ROE and P/B have both doubled since 2009:
mabuchi_chart2
Sources: company reports, Bloomberg


Mabuchi has consistently narrowed its valuation gap relative to global peers:

chart3
Sources: company reports, Bloomberg
Note: peers are Nidec, Yaskawa Electric, and Johnson Motors


Mabuchi’s consistent capital management policy has improved ROE and asset turn (sales to total assets) while maintaining modest financial leverage (assets to equity):

mabuchi_chart4
Sources: company reports, Bloomberg

Amada

Amada introduced investor-friendly policies at the start of FY3/15. Policies include a 50% dividend payout ratio, buying back and retiring 10 million shares (2.6% of total shares outstanding at the start of FY3/15) and an ultimate ROE target of 10% (7% in FY3/15). Investors have responded favorably to these policies, and Amada’s valuation has risen from less than half that of its peers to industry averages.


Amada’s P/B expanded from 0.6x, generally regarded as selling below replacement value, to a premium to book value following the announced commitment to enhanced capital management:

amada_chart1
Sources: company reports, Bloomberg
Note: forecast ROE is based on Bloomberg consensus estimates


Amada’s ROE is expected to remain below the level of peer companies:

amada_chart2
Sources: company reports, Bloomberg
Note: forecast ROE is based on Bloomberg consensus estimates


But the company’s clear commitment to improved capital management has narrowed the gap between its valuation and peer companies from 65% to 30%:

amada_chart3
Sources: company reports, Bloomberg
Note: forecast ROE is based on Bloomberg consensus estimates


Amada’s announced policies are expected to increase asset turn (revenues to total assets) and stem the decline in leverage (assets to equity), raising ROE:

amada_table
Sources: company reports, Bloomberg
Note: forecast ROE is based on Bloomberg consensus estimates

Tokio Marine

Tokio Marine made a significant commitment to shareholder returns and capital management in its three year mid-term plan which began in 2011. At that time the company targeted a FY ROE of 7.4% (from -0.7%), a target dividend payout ratio of 40-50% of average adjusted earnings, and flexible share buybacks. Tokio Marine undertook to achieve higher shareholder returns and payouts through improved capital efficiency and increased profitability, underpinned by a commitment to financial soundness.


FY3/14 ROE surpassed the initial target level, and DPS has increased by 40% in two years. Meanwhile, shares outstanding have fallen by 4.5%. In the second half of FY2014, the company resolved to buy back up to Y50B of shares, and has committed to maintaining an appropriate level of capital through further buybacks.

tokio_chart1
Source: company reports, Bloomberg


Tokio Marine has consistently earned a higher ROE than peers:

tokio_chart2
Source: company reports, Bloomberg
Note: peers are MS&AD and Sompo


Thanks to its higher ROE and clear commitment to efficient capital management, the company has maintained a valuation premium over its peers:

tokio_chart3
Source: company reports, Bloomberg
Note: peers are MS&AD and Sompo

Izumi

In 2011 Izumi began returning surplus funds to shareholders via buybacks and higher dividends. A steady improvement in ROE has driven a doubling of its price to book ratio. The company now commands a large valuation premium to its domestic peers.


Consistent capital management policy has led to a 35% reduction in shares outstanding and a 170% increase in DPS from 2010 to 2014:

izumi_keymetrics
Source: company reports, Bloomberg


Izumi’s P/B ratio has nearly doubled as the company’s ROE improved:

izumi_chart_roe
Source: company reports, Bloomberg


ROE now far outstrips leading domestic peers:

izumi_chart_2a
Source: company reports, Bloomberg
Domestic peers: Aeon and Seven & I Holdings


Izumi now enjoys a meaningful valuation premium to its peers:

izumi_chart_3a
Source: company reports, Bloomberg
Domestic peers: Aeon and Seven & I Holdings


Consistent capital management policy has improved both ROE and asset turn (sales to total assets) while decreasing financial leverage:

izumi_dupont
Source: company reports, Bloomberg

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